
Police arrest one of the gunmen of the Manawan Attack
On Tuesday, media outlets reported that Beitullah Mehsud, the head of the Tehreek-e-Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack on the Manawan police academy in Punjab province, which killed at least 13 people, including at least eight recruits and instructors, and wounded more than 100. Mehsud reportedly told Reuters by telephone, “Yes, we have carried out this attack,” asserting that it was “in retaliation for the continued drone strikes by the U.S. in collaboration with Pakistan on our people.” According to BBC News, the TTP leader also claimed responsibility for two other recent deadly attacks – a suicide attack on a security convoy in Bannu on Monday and the attack on the Islamabad police station on March 25. He noted these attacks would continue “until the Pakistan government stops supporting the Americans.” Other media agencies reported the militant head also threatened to attack Washington, warning, “Very soon we will take revenge from America, not in Afghanistan but in Washington, which will amaze the entire world.”
Mehsud’s announcement seem to adhere to Interior Minister Rehman Malik‘s statements yesterday, when he said the perpetrators of the Manawan police academy attack had “rented an apartment in Lahore but came from Pakistan’s lawless tribal areas in the west.” According to GEO News, Malik noted the assailants had planned the attack in South Waziristan, and that one of the captured gunmen was an Afghan national. However, prior to Mehsud’s announcement today, the NY Times had reported, “It seemed just as likely that the attacks had been perpetrated by Punjabi militant groups, like Lashkar-e-Toiba, which was blamed for the attacks last year in Mumbai, India, or Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, a sectarian group that recruits in southern Punjab but in recent years moved to the tribal areas to train alongside Al Qaeda.” The LeT was also suspected in a hauntingly similar attack this month on the Sri Lankan cricket team in Lahore. Monday’s attack on the police academy was the second major attack in Punjab in a month. Both attacks aimed to highlight the powerlessness of the government and its security forces, although yesterday’s incident was “resolved” by paramilitary troops, who struck back quickly, surrounding the police academy and fiercely attacking the militants. The government called the resolution of the eight-hour siege a “relative success.”
After following the news yesterday and today, what ultimately disturbed me was not that the TTP claimed responsibility for the attack, but that there were so many potential perpetrators. Beitullah Mehsud’s announcement reminded us of how many groups are operating in Pakistan’s periphery, and how easily they can coordinate with one another. Although they may be separate organizations, the line between them has become increasingly blurred. In February 2009, the Long War Journal noted that there have been “numerous reports of joint operations between the Taliban, Al Qaeda, the Haqqani Network, Hizb-i-Islami, Lashkar-e-Toiba, Harkat-ul-Jihad Islami, and other terror groups.” And, although the Lashkar-e-Toiba [LeT] has historically had a more localized agenda [fighting in Kashmir], analysts after the Mumbai attacks noted the organization has evolved to become a greater, more overarching threat, one that has bought into the AQ vision. The Tehreek-e-Taliban meanwhile is a loose alliance of about 13 Islamist militant groups based near the Afghan border, with reported links to the Afghan Taliban. According to Reuters, “While some of the groups are fighting for implementation of a puritanical Taliban-like order, others are involved in criminal activities such as smuggling and kidnapping.” Mehsud is Pakistan’s most-wanted militant, and the U.S. has publicized a $5 million award for his arrest, [see CHUP's past post on him].
What is frightening is that these groups are no longer confined to Pakistan’s tribal areas; in fact, that has been the reality for some time now. Their operations are bleeding into our country, they are threatening our citizens, and they aim to destabilize our state further. The recent political turmoil in Pakistan, [which may have eased [temporarily] today with the restoration of Shahbaz Sharif as Chief Minister of Punjab] only further exacerbated the power vacuum in the nation – ultimately making us more vulnerable to such attacks. By targeting relatively safe cities like Lahore, these organizations aim to entrench the perception that nowhere in Pakistan is safe. By targeting our police forces [besides the Manawan attack, there was also the Islamabad police station bombing and last week's attack on a mosque near a tribal police checkpoint], they are not only highlighting the weaknesses in our security structure, but are intimidating members of these forces. The NY Times quoted one angry young recruit yesterday, who told the news agency, “I’m not joining the police…I love my life. No one wants to be here anymore. We’re taking off our uniforms and going home.”
Although it was an improvement that Pakistan’s elite forces were able to swoop in and prevail yesterday, [considering that during the Lahore attack, the assailants got away], the real victory will come when these incidents are not just quelled but actually prevented. Let’s hope that with one political crisis averted, that can now happen.

BBC News analysis: “What has caught many off guard is how quickly and openly Mr Mehsud accepted responsibility. Previously he and his organisation would either refrain from accepting responsibility for major attacks, or wait several months before acknowledging their role. It is another indication of how much the power of the Taleban has grown and how secure they feel in their safe havens along the border with Afghanistan.”
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7974520.stm
So if our first line of defense, the police, can be easily breached, what are our options.? I understand that they are quick to respond, but they are obviously outmatched by the opposing militants. It appears that the leadership is completely non existent at this point. How does the public feel about the military coming in? If democracy brings a Zardari and the military brought a Musharraf, what are the choices. Sure we can run into the streets and scream for our freedoms, and have them granted, but at this point without security those freedoms appear to be irrelevant (in this point and time).
[...] – Changing Up Pakistan reports that “Beitullah Mehsud, the head of the Tehreek-e-Taliban claimed responsibility for the [...]
Butters,
Our first option would be to bolster our police force, but obviously that becomes increasingly difficult when people feel terrorized or intimidated from joining in the first place.
Someone mentioned to me yesterday that the response to the paramilitary troops resolving the incident was significant. Within a power vacuum, does the military act as our savior? And does the cheering that goes along with that translate into a desire for a military government? The restoration of Shahbaz as CM may change that, but it’s still some food for thought.
And I agree with you, one of the most basic services the state must provide to its citizens is security. If attacks like these highlight their inability to do so – then what next?
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Excellent analysis, what we should focus on though is who finances and arranges the logistics for the TTP, its certainly not Mr Mehsud. Quite frankly the Taliban would never have taken over Afghanistan without the ISI so with that in mind there has to be an organization or state with equal resources to now set up an insurgency in Pakistan.
What and who has to gain from our government being toppled to let in the khakis once more?
Kalsoom, I completely agree. We are all so immersed in our day to day activities that we tend to forget at times that these people are inching closer and closer to destroying everything we hold dear. It is terrifying to think that even if America chose to carpet bomb the tribal areas in Pakistan, these groups have trainees all over the world ready to attack. Does the US or Pakistan or anyone for that matter have any kind of resolution for this (I’m talking about the spread of the members of these groups worldwide) other than keeping a “close watch” through intelligence and basic anti-terror training of police forces?
Thanks Faisal – I think what’s most disturbing is that Beitullah Mehsud holds news conferences and speaks to reporters over the phone, yet he remains elusive. I’m not sure how that works – is it that difficult to catch him or is it something else?
Maria, I think that’s where the “targeted drone strikes” come in, in terms of U.S. policy. The Pakistani military conducts raids and ground operations. The drone strikes seems to embolden these militants by increasing sympathizers though, so i don’t think it’s a very effective policy from that angle. In terms of counter-insurgency, we need to be doing a lot more.
Kalsoom,
How can Mehsud meet media people every now and then and still stay elusive?
In my post grad strategic Studies course, the first thing we were taught was that in order to carry out a sustained guerrilla or civil war, the supply lines need to be smooth and safe. Now the question is, if Mehsud is this big a threat to Afghani, Pakistani, US, Indian and Chinese interest in the region, then who is ensuring the smooth and safe supply lines.
Tazeen,
Can you clarify what you mean by supply lines? Like physical supply lines or communication supply lines? Thanks!
The fact that Mehsud meets with media doesn’t imply some vast conspiracy is taking place, that’s a huge leap. The reporters are obviously compliant with maintaining his secrecy.
Secondly, the supply lines are guarded by NATO forces and trucks ARE frequently attacked. But of course sensitive cargo would be sent via air. So how could militants with no air force disrupt air cargo? So again, I see no connection to any broader point, if one was being made.
I sense a lot of conspiracy theories being thrown around on this thread today!
I’ve seen written in a few places by people questions as to where are the protest marches and similar in Pakistan. Personally I would feel a lot safer protesting against the government (they have to line up Police and give you a bit of warning)/badly drawn cartoons/Isreal (if I were in Pakistan)/whoever than against a group of people renouned for blowing themselves up with no warning in crowded places (hmm, I hope their isn’t a lesson for the government there!).
Well when Hamid Mir interviewed Osama bin Laden (and there was another Western journalist), he was def blindfolded and taken to a “secret location.” Of course, this was a few years ago. Today, Beitullah Mehsud holds news conferences for reporters! But as Tazeen mentioned, there is probably some sort of assurance to make sure he stays safe and protected.
Chris, are you talking about the safety issues regarding protest marches against terrorism and the Taliban?
@ Baitullah Mehsood is an Indo/Israeli trained
American fake Taliban, created long ago, I have
mentionned hundred times on this blog, now I
read the above comments and am perplexed,
they still have the stubborn ” frangrance ” of
flagrant denial and defence of these American
sponsored terrorists !!!
Even a child of nine can come to the conclusions
not other than Baitullah’s origins, Baitullah is
protected by PPP’s Failed Govt.point !!
I fail to understand why does the U.S. not simply provide the Pakistani Army with the intelligence and let them attack the terrorist hideouts. If the Americans can’t trust the Pakistani with attacking the terrorists, what makes them so sure that Pakistani authorities will not allow the terrorists to re-emerge once the U.S. have accomplished the impossible task of killing all terrorists.
The U.S. is merely fuelling the fire the terrorism in Pakistan by undertaking the drone strikes.
Pakistan and extremists will find a way to co-exist through ‘peace deals’ if the U.S. does not interfere with its own version of ‘peace’ and ‘democracy’.
Yes I think its quite unfair people call for protest marches against terrorists, who by their very nature would wish to target such events (and they are so very vulnerable). Nationwide solidarity great, gathering in large vulnerable crowds to insult people with bombs and little compunction about using them, not so great.
Somewhat off topic but I’m seeing complaints/calls for such action increasingly.
Chris,
I think it’s a fair point – which is probably why people haven’t “marched” against terrorism in the past. However, what else should people do? There have been initiatives like Yeh Hum Naheen (This is Not us – http://changinguppakistan.wordpress.com/2008/10/10/pakistanis-say-no-to-terrorism-yeh-hum-naheen/), and while a lot of people signed up, I think there needs to be more than just petitions. Faisal K on his blog mentioned a great idea about neighborhood patrols, which would mirror the developments in Iraq with the Sunni Awakening – but I’m not sure how many people would actually participate. What do you think?
@thetrajectory
‘I fail to understand why does the U.S. not simply provide the Pakistani Army with the intelligence and let them attack the terrorist hideouts.’
- Pakistan army itself has created this mosters and there are too many symphatizers there. They are giving these extremist a free hand so that they also remain important.
No institution should be more powerful than institution of democracy not even judiciary.
Mind you no body believe Pak army and after so many years giving information to pakistan regarding these terrorist, US is not going to believe Pak.
I think in near future direct strikes are inevitable.
What type of peace deal do you want with the extremist..
You have to wake up .. now these extremist has one aim and that is to take whole pakistan and afganistan under there control.
If you dont oppose such forces now then It would be very difficult to stop them. Already they have gained momentum. I people of pakistan dont stand now.. I hope they will..
Same like they stood against Zardari.
Best of luck…
Faisal K on his blog mentioned a great idea about neighborhood patrols, which would mirror the developments in Iraq with the Sunni Awakening – but I’m not sure how many people would actually participate. What do you think?
She has problems enough with me going for contracts in post conflict warzones. Still the Taliban are small in number – if every time they appeared people took pot shots they wouldn’t last long – however what makes you think people are actually against them? The views of my countrymen, hell even my family, often stun me. I can’t begin to offer comment on what people elsewhere think!
>>>>>>>>>>>
(I’m struck by the vision of an anti Taliban Pakistani Batman!) I think such direct actions can only be counternanced when you feel directly under threat and things have to get disasteriously bad before that happens.
I would participate in such things in my own country – if my wife allowed it!
Idealy you have democracy providing an annoymous way to voice opposition but it doesn’t always work in times of stress.
Maybe Pakistanis have to devise a new way to annonimously object to the Taliban to demonstrate what depth of feeling exists (or doesn’t) to embolden such views to the point that they can safely be made public. Note I have no clue how you can do this!
Chris,
I think that’s where technology may come in – it might not be anonymous necessarily, but it’s done from the safety of cyberspace. Creating vast action networks of bloggers, twitterers, citizen journalists, etc. might be key.
I suppose that has the bonus of a massive education and infrastructure campaign first to enable it?
Would be interesting to compare how developed Muslim states like Turkey or Malaysia that have that capability deal with such sentiments and actions (though of course their insurgencies are quite different).
very sad news indeed
such men are a threat to any society
[...] first demystify the term, “Taliban militants.” Following the Manawan police attack, I noted that the incident signified how many militant organizations are operating in Pakistan’s [...]